I know KenPom is considered the golden word of wisdom when it comes to college hoops analaytics, but it’s pure brainwashing this year. I can hardly find a damn article from someone announcing their own opinion. I know the NCAA thinks he understands quantum physics. I think he sounds like he ate batteries for breakfast.
Just gonna lay some stuff out.
Seeding doesn’t effect odds to win title.
I lost brain cells reading that article, apparently you can “significantly” lower a team’s seed without effecting win probability because the best teams will be in the final four. I guess Cinderellas also deserve to play teams they can beat. Expert logic, why not go all out? Let’s just cluster all the seeds together. #1s together, #2s together repeat through #9s on one side. Repeat same process #8s through #16s on the other.
Injuries give teams a free roll.
SeeDiNg DoEsNt MaTTeR... sit down
Objective Selection: No human logic.
Dating back to 2002 (KenPom’s appearance) his secret formula predictions hold a 16% accuracy rate at predicting the 4 best teams at 12/72 correct teams. NCAA is over 50% better with 25/72 correct #1 seeds.
Gonzaga’s offense ranks among best ever in KenPom’s system.
I can’t believe people PayPal this guy $20 annually to subscribe. What’s to gain? The ability to correctly predict a 16% chance of guessing a #1 seed in the final four? I’ve never heard of the “best offensive team” having a SOS of 84. Duke would drop 100/game on all those schools of the blind.
SportingNews just released an article a couple hours ago ago (which finally prompted this tirade from me) saying that 7 of the last 11 NCAA champions were KenPom’s #1 rated team. Are people aware that he updates final rankings after the tournament? Pre-tournament tells his real predictions. Yesterday a different site noted that Virginia wouldn’t win because no team in the bottom half of KenPom’s adjusted tempo metric has ever won. Wtf is adjusted tempo? According to KenPom it’s a team’s total possessions assuming they are playing an average tempo team. So we just assume that all opponents are running 64 possessions? Wow lol... Possessions aren’t even a real stat in college anyway, it’s an estimation from box score. But if we check out this metric: 07 Fl, 10 Duke, 11 UConn, 12 UK, 14 UConn all negate that argument.
I noticed he has a “Luck” rating. Describes it as winning or losing close games determines whether you are lucky or unlucky. On his website he has a tab labeled philosophies, one reads “Why I don’t believe in clutchness.” — Now just hold on. Isn’t clutch considered hitting a big shot with the game in question(close)? So he believes that teams get lucky/unlucky winning or losing these situations but doesn’t think that players have the intangibles to step up in big moments?
Am I badly mistaken or is this nuts?
Just gonna lay some stuff out.
Seeding doesn’t effect odds to win title.
I lost brain cells reading that article, apparently you can “significantly” lower a team’s seed without effecting win probability because the best teams will be in the final four. I guess Cinderellas also deserve to play teams they can beat. Expert logic, why not go all out? Let’s just cluster all the seeds together. #1s together, #2s together repeat through #9s on one side. Repeat same process #8s through #16s on the other.
Injuries give teams a free roll.
SeeDiNg DoEsNt MaTTeR... sit down
Objective Selection: No human logic.
Dating back to 2002 (KenPom’s appearance) his secret formula predictions hold a 16% accuracy rate at predicting the 4 best teams at 12/72 correct teams. NCAA is over 50% better with 25/72 correct #1 seeds.
Gonzaga’s offense ranks among best ever in KenPom’s system.
I can’t believe people PayPal this guy $20 annually to subscribe. What’s to gain? The ability to correctly predict a 16% chance of guessing a #1 seed in the final four? I’ve never heard of the “best offensive team” having a SOS of 84. Duke would drop 100/game on all those schools of the blind.
SportingNews just released an article a couple hours ago ago (which finally prompted this tirade from me) saying that 7 of the last 11 NCAA champions were KenPom’s #1 rated team. Are people aware that he updates final rankings after the tournament? Pre-tournament tells his real predictions. Yesterday a different site noted that Virginia wouldn’t win because no team in the bottom half of KenPom’s adjusted tempo metric has ever won. Wtf is adjusted tempo? According to KenPom it’s a team’s total possessions assuming they are playing an average tempo team. So we just assume that all opponents are running 64 possessions? Wow lol... Possessions aren’t even a real stat in college anyway, it’s an estimation from box score. But if we check out this metric: 07 Fl, 10 Duke, 11 UConn, 12 UK, 14 UConn all negate that argument.
I noticed he has a “Luck” rating. Describes it as winning or losing close games determines whether you are lucky or unlucky. On his website he has a tab labeled philosophies, one reads “Why I don’t believe in clutchness.” — Now just hold on. Isn’t clutch considered hitting a big shot with the game in question(close)? So he believes that teams get lucky/unlucky winning or losing these situations but doesn’t think that players have the intangibles to step up in big moments?
Am I badly mistaken or is this nuts?