Absolutely. Duke has not had a consistent outside shooter, let alone shooterS, in years. Top recruits but they have not developed their games for the most part. He has to adjust the recruiting system. Getting the number one class when 3-4 are going to the NBA the next season, none of whom are pure net rippers from 3 (usually the case), is not going to cut it in today’s transfer portal / NIL landscape. It was always a tough and unlikely road to begin with. Now it’s less likely.
3 of Miami’s top 4 scorers and players are transfers. Same exact thing with Wake. I’m not saying they need to follow that model exactly. But it’s clear Miami & Wake handed out some significant money to get those kids. And they are physical, mature, 3rd, 4th, and even 5th year players in some cases. Duke alumni who enjoyed all those titles and are now worth millions are going to have to step up their game. You’ve got a kid who should still be in high school going against 23 year old quality 5th year seniors in some cases. That is not going to make you a top 15-20 team, let alone top 5-10, if you are starting a bunch of 18 /19 year olds just out of high school. Duke is going to have to step up to get some upper classmen who can play at a high level. The old pattern of recruiting OADs with one or two vets is simply not going to be consistently successful when you have competition not only recruiting quality talent that stay 3-4 years, but luring players from the portal who are strong starters elsewhere.
So far Duke has done only slightly more than give lip service to the transfer portal. UNC made it to the national title and beat us twice last year largely because of a top tier starter who was a transfer.
Don’t get me wrong. I really like this team. Love their spirit. And I think Acheyer is doing a good job coaching them. But not only is their generational talent not quite up there as other high end recruiting years, they are so young and haven’t developed the poise to handle a game like that. They are looking at being a 5-6 seed. The whole landscape is changing fast and blue blood programs sticking with their old formula just aren’t going to win very consistently.