I understand how he built the early leads, I'm more asking how one can find Trump's early lead legitimate but question Biden's rally. Clearly, there were massive swings in how voters of each party voted. Basically, my argument is if you find it plausible that Trump can lead a historically blue state by 670,000 in-person votes you should be able to find it equally plausible that Biden could lead mail-in voting by 750,000.
What are basing the enthusiasm levels for Trump in Pennsylvania on as compared to 2016?
You mentioned Michigan. Michigan lost 5320 manufacturing jobs in 2019. That is the first net negative manufacturing year in Michigan since 2009. The total manufacturing job growth in the state from 2017-2019 was 2 percent, which is actually lower than the national average.
The statistical anomalies that keep getting brought up are based on ballot reporting. This is not the same thing as ballot-counting or the order in which ballots were cast.
I posted a long post a few days ago explaining why, in my opinion based on some fact, research and interpreting, I felt their was such a massive voter turnout this year. Pull it up and I'll address anything you take issue with.
The last sentence of your post is interesting, in that many people vote based on who they find more likeable. Would you not agree that helped W get elected twice?
Beyond that, though, as I mentioned before Donald Trump's twitter feed may have been the biggest political bullhorn in American history. No matter what his accomplishments were, they were always going to run second place to whatever ridiculous, outlandish and often times offensive things he posted there. That probably made this more of a "feelings," contest than previous elections.
Realistically, though, Donald Trump didn't have enough accomplishments to overcome his neglection of duty when it came to the Coronavirus and how offensive many American found his presence in the Oval Office.