Lot of good points here and I agree with a lot of potential scenarios. But, until we see how each guy performs in relation to everyone else, it is hard to predict. Theo is a good example. He is a vet and performed well in the Big East. On the surface, he looks like a pretty well known entity.
But, even as a 5th year guy, he could play a lot better, or, a lot worse than expected. A new system and coach could greatly change his performance in either direction. And, even some 5th year guys make bigger than expected jumps or regress unexpectedly. If he plays great, he could own the 4 and 5 backup and get 25 min a game. Even more likely if Blakes isnt ready and or one or more of Keels, Roach, or Moore disappoint.
But, if Blake's surprises and the other guards are playing well, Theo's minutes could go down even if he is playing well.
The good thing is that even though we only have 8 to 9 guys who have a realistic chance to contribute and only 7 guys that we expect to contribute, the guys we have offer a lot of flexibility, with multiple guys being able to handle 2-3 positions.